2026–27 Winter Outlook

Could El Niño Deliver a Huge Winter? 5 Ski Resorts to Watch

A powerful El Niño is building excitement for winter 2026–27. These five Western ski destinations could be especially worth watching as the season approaches.

It may be July, but skiers and snowboarders already have their attention on the coming winter. A strengthening El Niño in the Pacific is raising hopes for a wetter and more active season across portions of the West.

El Niño develops when surface waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific become warmer than average. That warming can alter atmospheric circulation, influence the jet stream and change where winter storms travel across North America.

No climate pattern can guarantee how much snow will reach a particular resort. Still, elevation, geography and the regions commonly favored by El Niño offer clues about which mountains could be worth watching.

These destinations are not ranked by predicted snowfall. They are five resorts that could benefit if the developing El Niño produces a favorable southern storm track during winter 2026–27.

Snow-covered Mammoth Mountain in Mammoth Lakes, California
1

Mammoth Mountain, California

Mammoth Mountain may be one of the most closely watched resorts heading into the 2026–27 season. Its location in California’s Eastern Sierra places it in a strong position when Pacific storms are directed toward the state.

Elevation is one of Mammoth’s biggest advantages. Moisture-rich storms that bring rain to lower elevations can produce significant snow across the mountain when colder temperatures are in place.

If the developing El Niño sends repeated storms toward the Sierra Nevada, Mammoth Lakes could become one of the most exciting winter destinations in the West.

Why we’re watching: High elevation and access to Pacific storm systems
Skier making a powder turn at Palisades Tahoe in California
2

Palisades Tahoe, California

Palisades Tahoe is another California resort positioned to benefit when powerful Pacific storms reach the Sierra Nevada. During an active storm cycle, snow can accumulate quickly across its higher terrain.

Conditions in the Lake Tahoe region can vary substantially from one system to the next. A relatively small change in storm direction, temperature or snow level can determine where the deepest totals are recorded.

If California experiences a sustained period of winter storms, Palisades could be one of the resorts reporting impressive snowfall totals.

Why we’re watching: Exposure to moisture-rich Pacific storms
Skier overlooking the mountains near Alta Ski Area in Utah
3

Alta Ski Area, Utah

Alta is already recognized as one of North America’s leading powder destinations. Its position in Little Cottonwood Canyon can enhance snowfall when Pacific moisture travels inland and reaches the Wasatch Mountains.

Utah is not equally favored during every El Niño season. However, Alta’s elevation, typically cold winter temperatures and mountainous geography allow it to take advantage of productive storm periods.

If the right combination of moisture and cold air reaches northern Utah, Alta could experience several memorable powder cycles.

Why we’re watching: Cold temperatures and favorable mountain terrain
Snow-covered slopes at Wolf Creek Ski Area in Colorado
4

Wolf Creek Ski Area, Colorado

Southern Colorado is often an area of interest during El Niño winters, especially when the storm track favors the southern Rockies. Wolf Creek is positioned to benefit from storms moving into the San Juan Mountains.

The resort is already known for receiving substantial natural snowfall. Its location can become particularly advantageous when storms approach from a direction that delivers moisture to southern Colorado.

If the developing pattern brings repeated systems into the southern Rockies, Wolf Creek could be one of Colorado’s most closely watched resorts.

Why we’re watching: A strategic location in southern Colorado
Snow-covered terrain at Taos Ski Valley in New Mexico
5

Taos Ski Valley, New Mexico

Taos Ski Valley is another southern mountain destination that could benefit if El Niño produces a wetter pattern across the Southwest.

Its high base elevation and mountainous terrain can support quality snow when temperatures and moisture align. New Mexico snowfall can vary considerably between seasons, so individual storm paths will remain important.

Taos belongs on the watch list because its location could place it closer to the action if the winter storm track consistently favors the southern United States.

Why we’re watching: High elevation and a Southwest location

What Could El Niño Mean for Steamboat Springs?

Steamboat Springs is farther north than the regions most commonly associated with El Niño’s wetter winter influence. The connection is therefore less direct than it may be for California, New Mexico or southern Colorado.

That does not mean Steamboat cannot have an excellent snow season. Individual storms, local temperatures and shorter-term weather patterns can still favor northern Colorado, regardless of the broader seasonal outlook.

As winter approaches, current forecasts and official Steamboat Resort snow reports will provide a clearer picture than the El Niño outlook alone.

Does El Niño Guarantee a Snowy Winter?

No. El Niño influences large-scale atmospheric patterns, but it cannot predict every storm. Even two El Niño winters of similar strength can produce very different results at the same resort.

Temperature is also important. A moisture-rich storm can bring substantial mountain snow when cold air is present, but warmer temperatures can raise snow levels and produce rain at lower elevations.

Long dry stretches can also occur within an otherwise active season. This list represents destinations with reasons for optimism, not guaranteed snowfall rankings.

Winter travel reminder: Conditions can change quickly in the mountains. Review official forecasts, resort operations, highway conditions and chain requirements before traveling.

A Winter Worth Watching

It is still only July, and much can change before the 2026–27 ski season begins. Even so, the strengthening El Niño is giving winter travelers an early reason to pay attention.

Mammoth Mountain may be especially well positioned if repeated Pacific storms reach California. Palisades Tahoe, Alta, Wolf Creek and Taos could also benefit if the storm track favors California, Utah, the southern Rockies and the Southwest.

The outlook will become clearer as fall approaches. Until then, travelers can continue following official forecasts and begin exploring their winter lodging options before the most popular dates arrive.

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Forecast Information

Seasonal conditions and probabilities can change. Follow the NOAA Climate Prediction Center for current El Niño information. Consult official resort reports and local weather forecasts before traveling.